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Overview: Mon, May 20

Hoenig, Thomas

Friday, 07 March 2008

[T]here is a risk that an extended period of low interest rates may distort long-run investment decisions; lead to a search for yield that results in excessive risk-taking; and contribute to the development of asset price bubbles.

In my view, these limitations are significant, and they lead me to believe that we should look to fiscal policy to play a more important role in responding to the spillover from a financial crisis. In contrast to monetary policy, fiscal policy can work effectively even when the financial system is impaired, and its effects are felt more broadly across the economy. My own view is that monetary policy may be a good first line of defense, but should not be relied upon too heavily for too long. Of course, we would have to rely less on monetary policy to respond to financial crises if we could, instead, take measures that would reduce the likelihood or severity of financial crises.