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Gramlich, Edward

Wednesday, 12 January 2000

Many potential inflation targeters ask, "Why not zero?"...[One] reason for shooting at a rate of inflation slightly above zero is known as the zero bound problem. If a country's real interest rates are close to zero and its inflation rate is close to zero, its nominal interest rates will also be close to zero. Since costs of holding cash are minimal, a central bank cannot push nominal interest rates much below zero. This means that countries that target for zero inflation could get in the bind of being unable to ease monetary policy in response to recessionary shocks.