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Overview: Mon, May 06

Daily Agenda

Time Indicator/Event Comment
11:3013- and 26-wk bill auction$70 billion apiece
12:50Barkin (FOMC voter)On the economic outlook
13:00Williams (FOMC voter)Speaks at Milken Institute conference
15:00STRIPS dataApril data

US Economy

Federal Reserve and the Overnight Market

Treasury Finance

This Week's MMO

  • MMO for May 6, 2024

     

    Last week’s Fed and Treasury announcements allowed us to do a lot of forecast housekeeping.  Net Treasury bill issuance between now and the end of September appears likely to be somewhat higher on balance and far more volatile from month to month than we had previously anticipated.  In addition, we discuss the implications of the unexpected increase in the Treasury’s September 30 TGA target and the Fed’s surprising MBS reinvestment guidance. 

Voters versus participants

Ben Bernanke

Wed, April 25, 2012

GREG IP:   Could you put some numbers on what -- on the meaning of exceptionally low federal funds rate? For example, would a 1 percent federal funds rate qualify as exceptionally low at the end of 2014?

 BERNANKE: Exceptionally low -- you know, one of the reasons that the language in the statement is sometimes a little vaguer than you would like, is because we're trying to get a consensus among 17 -- or at least 10 people -- and different members or participants in the FOMC might have somewhat different views of what exceptionally low means.

Personally, I think it means something close to where we are now.

MMO Analysis