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Overview: Mon, May 06

Daily Agenda

Time Indicator/Event Comment
11:3013- and 26-wk bill auction$70 billion apiece
12:50Barkin (FOMC voter)On the economic outlook
13:00Williams (FOMC voter)Speaks at Milken Institute conference
15:00STRIPS dataApril data

US Economy

Federal Reserve and the Overnight Market

Treasury Finance

This Week's MMO

  • MMO for May 6, 2024

     

    Last week’s Fed and Treasury announcements allowed us to do a lot of forecast housekeeping.  Net Treasury bill issuance between now and the end of September appears likely to be somewhat higher on balance and far more volatile from month to month than we had previously anticipated.  In addition, we discuss the implications of the unexpected increase in the Treasury’s September 30 TGA target and the Fed’s surprising MBS reinvestment guidance. 

Nationalization

Thomas Hoenig

Thu, April 09, 2009

Nationalization is the process of the government taking over a going concern with the intent of operating it.  Though a bridge institution is the most likely outcome when a large financial firm fails, the goal is for the firm to be reprivatized as quickly as possible.  In addition, subject to regulatory agency oversight, the bridge firm would be managed by private sector managers selected for their experience in operating well-run, large, complex organizations.

Sheila Bair

Mon, March 02, 2009

Whatever you may think {nationalization} means, I don't see the U.S. government operating a large institution for an extended period.

In fact, based on where we stand today, I would be surprised if the FDIC had to step in as conservator or receiver of a large, systemically important institution. The regulators' Joint Statement last week restated our commitment to preserve the viability of systemically important financial institutions. This will be done through capital injections, if needed, and the supervisory process.

If more direct intervention to take over a large financial group is needed, that will present significant challenges. The main hurdle is that there's no clear process for resolving a large financial holding company with multiple affiliates. We have a process for dealing with large banks, but not financial conglomerates.

Many have pointed to the FDIC's model of resolving failed banks as a possible solution. I believe the FDIC model is tried and true...But clearly, there would be practical problems if we had to use our resolution process for a large, internationally active institution. First, we do not have authority to resolve financial holding companies. Our powers extend only to federally insured banks.

Second, there is a very real question of whether our current funding mechanism is adequate to deal with the failure of a very large institution...

Another major problem, which has received less attention, is the difficulty in handing a cross-border failure. The key question is: What you do when more than one country is regulating a piece of the institution?

Ben Bernanke

Wed, February 25, 2009

Nationalization, to my mind, is when the government seizes the bank, zeroes out the shareholders and begins to manage and run the bank. And we don't plan anything like that.

It may be the case that the government will have a substantial minority share in Citi or other banks. But again, we have the tools between supervisory oversight, shareholder rights and other tools to make sure that we get the good results we want in terms of improved performance without all the negative impacts of going through a bankruptcy process or some kind of seizure, which would be, I think, disruptive to the market.

From the Q&A session

MMO Analysis