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Overview: Tue, July 21

Daily Agenda

Time Indicator/Event Comment
11:004-, 8- and 17-wk bill announcementNo changes expected
11:00Treasury buyback announcement (liq support)TIPS 1Y to 10Y
11:306-wk bill auction$95 billion offering

Federal Reserve and the Overnight Market

Treasury Finance

  • Treasury Highlights for Wednesday, July 22, 2026

    9:20 am: Fed bill purchase in the 4- to 12-month sector
    11:00 am: Treasury buyback announcement
    11:30 am: 17-week bill auction
    1:00 pm: 20-year bond (r) auction
    2:00 pm: Treasury buyback operation

US Economy

This Week's MMO

  • MMO for July 20, 2026

    The Treasury’s quarterly dealer discussion agenda, which was released on Friday, revisited the question of whether it should implement a short-term investment program for cash in the TGA that exceeds its daily minimum cash balance target.  The intramonthly peaks and valleys of its prudential cash balance framework mean that the Treasury can go for extended periods over the course of each month with more cash in the TGA than strictly required.  The financial benefits of redeploying that cash into the repo market are limited in the current market environment, but might become more substantial in the (we think unlikely) event that the moved to a scarce reserves framework.  This week’s newsletter looks at the additional background questions the Treasury is asking about the proposal this quarter.

Current Policy Outlook

Richard Fisher

Mon, November 03, 2014

I was pleased that we dropped the reference to significant in describing the remaining labor-market slack and that wording was included indicating we might well move to raise rates sooner than thus far assumed, should the economy proceed along the trajectory I think we are on. To me, this neutered the adjective considerable in stating the time frame under which we might act. This is why this particular hawk voted yes in support of the statement we released on Wednesday.

Narayana Kocherlakota

Fri, October 31, 2014

Market-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations have fallen recently to unusually low levels, a decline that I believe reflects that kind of increased downside risk.

There are a number of possible actions that I would have seen as responsive to the evolution of the data. Let me describe two in particular. First, the Committee could have continued to buy $15 billion of longer-term assets per month. Second, it could have committed to keeping the target range for the federal funds rate at its current level at least until the one- to two-year-ahead inflation outlook has risen back to 2 percent, as long as risks to financial stability remain well-contained. These actions would have put upward pressure on the demand for goods and services and on prices. Just as importantly, these actions would have communicated that the Committee is determined to do what it takes to push inflation back to 2 percent as rapidly as is possible.

Jeffrey Lacker

Fri, October 31, 2014

Our objective is to keep inflation under control, so keep it averaging 2 percent, Lacker said today in an interview with Kathleen Hays on Bloomberg Radio. So to my mind, that doesnt mean it has to cross two before the Fed raises rates

It wouldnt surprise me to see softer inflation for a couple of months, but I think if you look a year out, I think well be at 1.5 or higher, Lacker said

Inflation is, I think, a key swing variable in the outlook for when the Fed will raise its benchmark policy rate from zero, where it has been since 2008, Lacker said.

The unemployment rate has continued to decline, and so I think thats dramatically reduced the extent to which we ought to be sort of unhappy about labor market conditions and our employment mandate, he said. On the other hand, inflation has run below two for quite some time now, and the longer that goes on, the more you ought to focus on inflation.

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MMO Analysis