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Overview: Tue, July 21

Daily Agenda

Time Indicator/Event Comment
11:004-, 8- and 17-wk bill announcementNo changes expected
11:00Treasury buyback announcement (liq support)TIPS 1Y to 10Y
11:306-wk bill auction$95 billion offering

Federal Reserve and the Overnight Market

Treasury Finance

  • Treasury Highlights for Wednesday, July 22, 2026

    9:20 am: Fed bill purchase in the 4- to 12-month sector
    11:00 am: Treasury buyback announcement
    11:30 am: 17-week bill auction
    1:00 pm: 20-year bond (r) auction
    2:00 pm: Treasury buyback operation

US Economy

This Week's MMO

  • MMO for July 20, 2026

    The Treasury’s quarterly dealer discussion agenda, which was released on Friday, revisited the question of whether it should implement a short-term investment program for cash in the TGA that exceeds its daily minimum cash balance target.  The intramonthly peaks and valleys of its prudential cash balance framework mean that the Treasury can go for extended periods over the course of each month with more cash in the TGA than strictly required.  The financial benefits of redeploying that cash into the repo market are limited in the current market environment, but might become more substantial in the (we think unlikely) event that the moved to a scarce reserves framework.  This week’s newsletter looks at the additional background questions the Treasury is asking about the proposal this quarter.

Bond insurers

William Poole

Tue, February 26, 2008

"The markets are not healed, but I believe a lot of progress has been made," Poole said in an interview with Bloomberg Television. "You see a lot of the spreads narrowing, for example, the term Libor is more or less back to normal."

"A lot of banks and others are raising capital. We see the monoline insurance industry raising capital, getting things straightened out there. It's coming along."

As reported by Reuters.

Randall Kroszner

Mon, February 25, 2008

Obviously, there are some challenges in the economy right now and of course we're looking at that very, very carefully. I think it's very valuable that some of the concerns about the monoline insurers are being addressed by market participants.

From Q&A as reported by Reuters

Patrick Parkinson

Thu, February 14, 2008

U.S. banks' direct exposures to losses from downgrades of guarantors' ratings appear to be moderate relative to the banks' capital...

Of greater concern is the potential for losses at banks that have hedged their holdings of super senior tranches of CDOs of ABS with credit protection purchased from the guarantors.  These hedges lose value when the financial condition of the guarantors deteriorates.  In fact, many banks already have written down the value of their hedges significantly to reflect the market view that some guarantors may not meet their obligations on the protection they sold to the banks. 

Jeffrey Lacker

Tue, February 05, 2008

I'll just speak for myself. It wasn't - the bond insurers were not an important factor for me. The week before we just got a slew of adverse real news, and that was the predominant consideration in my mind for that intermeeting move.
 
In response to a question about the role that bond insurer problems played in the FOMC’s decision to ease on January 22.  Unofficial transcript.

Ben Bernanke

Sun, February 03, 2008

Banks have exposure the financial guarantors through banks' holdings of insured municipal securit1es and structured securities, through derivative transactions for which the guarantors are a counterparty, and through loans and lines of credit they have extended to the guarantors. Banks also have significant exposures to the financial guarantors through the liquidity support that banks provide for certain types of municipal securities and structures, including variable-rate demand obligations (VRDOs) and tender-option bonds (TOBs), as wen as some asset-backed commercial paper conduits. Reduced confidence in the financial guarantors could lead some investors to exercise options to put these securities back to the liquidity providers. Moreover, money market funds, who are major investors in these securities, can be required to put the securities back to the liquidity providers if the financial guarantor is downgraded significantly. Thus, banks could be required to bring a sizable volume of assets, especially municipal securities, onto their books.

MMO Analysis