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Overview: Wed, July 22

Daily Agenda

Time Indicator/Event Comment
07:00MBA mortgage prch. indexMild declines the last two weeks
09:20Fed bill purchase4- to 12-month maturities
11:00Treasury buyback announcement (liq support)Nominal coupons 10Y to 30Y
11:3017-wk bill auction$72 billion offering
13:0020-yr bond (r) auction$13 billion offering
14:00Treasury buyback (liq support)TIPS 1Y to 10Y
15:00Treasury investor class auction dataMid-July data

Federal Reserve and the Overnight Market

Treasury Finance

  • Treasury Highlights for Wednesday, July 22, 2026

    9:20 am: Fed bill purchase in the 4- to 12-month sector
    11:00 am: Treasury buyback announcement
    11:30 am: 17-week bill auction
    1:00 pm: 20-year bond (r) auction
    2:00 pm: Treasury buyback operation

US Economy

This Week's MMO

  • MMO for July 20, 2026

    The Treasury’s quarterly dealer discussion agenda, which was released on Friday, revisited the question of whether it should implement a short-term investment program for cash in the TGA that exceeds its daily minimum cash balance target.  The intramonthly peaks and valleys of its prudential cash balance framework mean that the Treasury can go for extended periods over the course of each month with more cash in the TGA than strictly required.  The financial benefits of redeploying that cash into the repo market are limited in the current market environment, but might become more substantial in the (we think unlikely) event that the moved to a scarce reserves framework.  This week’s newsletter looks at the additional background questions the Treasury is asking about the proposal this quarter.

Near-Term Policy Outlook

Janet Yellen

Mon, February 10, 2014

The Committee has emphasized that a highly accommodative policy will remain appropriate for a considerable time after asset purchases end. In addition, the Committee has said since December 2012 that it expects the current low-target range for the Federal Funds Rate to be appropriate at least as long as the unemployment rate remains above 6.5 percent, inflation is projected to be no more than a half percentage point above our 2 percent longer-run goal, and longer-term inflation expectations remain well anchored.

In December of last year and again this January, the Committee said that its current expectation based on its assessment of a broad range of measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial developments is that it is -- that it will likely be appropriate to maintain the current target range for the Federal Funds Rate well past the time that the unemployment rate declines below 6.5 percent, especially if projected inflation continues to run below the 2 percent goal.

Janet Yellen

Mon, February 10, 2014

YELLEN: I think what would cause the Committee to consider a pause is a notable change in the outlook. The Committee, when it decided to begin this process of tapering in measured steps, believed that the outlook was one where we would see continued improvement in the labor market, and inflation moving back up toward 2 percent target. And if incoming data were to cause the Committee, looking broadly at all of the evidence...
MALONEY: What kind of data? What kind of data?
YELLEN: ... question that...
MALONEY: Jobs data? What kind of data?
YELLEN: Well, well, we would be looking at a broad range of data on the labor market, including unemployment, job creation, and many other indicators of labor market performance.
We would also be looking at indicators of spending and growth in the economy because we do need to see growth at an above-trend pace in order to project continued improvement in the labor market. And we noticed -- note that inflation is running well below our objective, and we want to be sure that that is moving back toward our objective.
MALONEY: Well, what would it take for the Fed to consider increasing its asset purchases again, instead of just slowing down its reductions? What would -- what would it take?
YELLEN: Well, I think a significant deterioration in the outlook, either for the job market or concerns -- you know, very serious concerns that inflation would not be moving back up over time. But the Committee's emphasized that purchases are not on a preset course and we will continue to evaluate the evidence.

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MMO Analysis