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Overview: Wed, May 15

Daily Agenda

Time Indicator/Event Comment
07:00MBA mortgage prch. indexHas tended to decline in May
08:30CPIBoosted a little by energy
08:30Retail salesBack to earth in April
08:30Empire State mfgNo particular reason to expect much change this month
10:00Business inventoriesDown slightly in March
10:00NAHB indexFlat again in May
11:3017-wk bill auction$60 billion offering
12:00Kashkari (FOMC non-voter)Speaks at petroleum conference
15:20Bowman (FOMC voter)On financial innovation
16:00Tsy intl cap flowsMarch data

Intraday Updates

US Economy

Federal Reserve and the Overnight Market

Treasury Finance

This Week's MMO

  • MMO for May 13, 2024


    Abridged Edition.
      Due to technical production issues, this weekend's issue of our newsletter is limited to our regular Treasury and economic indicator calendars.  We will return to our regular format next week.

Monetary Policy

Laurence Meyer

Mon, March 02, 1998

The ability to pay interest on excess reserves would provide an additional tool that could be used for monetary policy implementation, but one that might not need to be used, if interest on required reserve balances and demand deposits resulted in a sufficient boost to the level of those balances. Even if not used immediately, it is important that the Federal Reserve have the full range of tools available to other central banks, given the inventiveness of our financial markets and the need for the Federal Reserve to be prepared for potential developments that may not be immediately visible.

Laurence Meyer

Mon, March 02, 1998

Eliminating price distortions on demand deposits and on required and excess reserve balances would spare the economy wasteful expenditure, increase the efficiency of our financial markets, and facilitate the conduct of monetary policy.

Alan Greenspan

Tue, July 01, 1997

Is price stability really what we are after or are we after financial stability? Even more generally, going back over time we have tended to argue, I think correctly, that the objective of monetary policy is to create maximum sustainable economic growth, and we have argued, again I think quite correctly, that price stability is a necessary condition to reach that goal. But price stability may indeed be a proxy for something else, which I suspect is financial stability...It is by no means clear exactly how we should measure price stability, given the prospect that it will become increasingly difficult over time to define what constitutes output and prices...When we move into the 21st century, what we will try to stabilize may in effect be the purchasing power of money, however that is measured...While I am not saying that these involve issues that we need to  resolve today, I suspect that we will start to confront them in 5 years or certainly within 10 years, and they may very well affect our projections going out to, say, the year 2006. I also suspect that by around the year 2006, this very tricky question may involve what we are endeavoring to stabilize and may be the focus of our policy actions. My own guess is that we are going to be dealing with asset prices, the question of nominal long-term interest rates, and probably the outlook for nominal GDP as well.

Alan Greenspan

Tue, February 21, 1995

There may come a time when we hold our policy stance unchanged, or even ease, despite adverse price data, should we see signs that underlying forces are acting ultimately to reduce inflation pressures.

Paul Volcker

Thu, September 16, 1976

Back in the days when I was learning economics and central banking, the General Theory had cast fresh light on old problems. The intellectual contributions were immense. But popularized, bowdlerized, and pressed to extremes, it lost fashion for good reason.

The monetarists – emphasizing old truths in modern clothing – have provided a large service in redressing the balance. It is in pressing the point to an extreme that the danger lies – the impression that only money matters and that a fixed rate of reserve expansion can answer most of the complicated problems of economic policy.

In a way, I suppose full confidence in a simple, unified view of economic policy is a comforting thing: a kind of security blanket in an uncertain world. But Alfred North Whitehead, in a different context, once pointed to the danger: “There are no whole truths; all truths are half truths. It is trying to treat them as whole truths that plays the devil.”

He overstated the case. The practical man cut adrift from our sense of what is the greater truth – distinguishing, if you will, the one-eighth truths from the seven-eighths truths – will soon lose his way. But in assessing those truths, he can never afford to lose sight of the messy reality of the world in which we live.

Sherman J. Maisel

Sat, January 01, 1972

In my view, changes in monetary policy may be desirable, but they should be used only to a limited degree in attempts to control movements in demand arising from non-monetary sources.

Governor Maisel was reported to have made this statement at some point in 1972

William McChesney Martin

Wed, October 19, 1955

In the field of monetary and credit policy, precautionary action to prevent inflationary excessses is bound to have some onerous effects -- if it did not it would be ineffective and futile.  Those who have the task of making such policy don't expect you to applaud.  The Federal Reserve, as one writer put it, after the recent increase in the discount rate, is in the position of the chaperone who has ordered the punch bowl removed just when the party was really warming up.

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