I hope that I have convinced you of three main points. First, the financial system meltdown of 2007-09 was caused by the unexpectedly large decline in U.S. residential land prices. Second, higher amounts of household and financial institution leverage leave the financial system more vulnerable to these kinds of shocks. Finally, the U.S. tax system encourages leverage by providing incentives for households to take on more mortgage debt and financial institutions to finance through debt.
I would say that the experience of the past few years has demonstrated how challenging it is to safeguard the financial system against systemic risk and how costly it can be if we fail to do so. Given this fresh experience, and my earlier remarks, I would assess the costs of providing tax incentives for leverage to be higher today than such an assessment in, say, 2006.