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Overview: Wed, July 22

Daily Agenda

Time Indicator/Event Comment
07:00MBA mortgage prch. indexMild declines the last two weeks
09:20Fed bill purchase4- to 12-month maturities
11:00Treasury buyback announcement (liq support)Nominal coupons 10Y to 30Y
11:3017-wk bill auction$72 billion offering
13:0020-yr bond (r) auction$13 billion offering
14:00Treasury buyback (liq support)TIPS 1Y to 10Y
15:00Treasury investor class auction dataMid-July data

Federal Reserve and the Overnight Market

Treasury Finance

  • Treasury Highlights for Wednesday, July 22, 2026

    9:20 am: Fed bill purchase in the 4- to 12-month sector
    11:00 am: Treasury buyback announcement
    11:30 am: 17-week bill auction
    1:00 pm: 20-year bond (r) auction
    2:00 pm: Treasury buyback operation

US Economy

This Week's MMO

  • MMO for July 20, 2026

    The Treasury’s quarterly dealer discussion agenda, which was released on Friday, revisited the question of whether it should implement a short-term investment program for cash in the TGA that exceeds its daily minimum cash balance target.  The intramonthly peaks and valleys of its prudential cash balance framework mean that the Treasury can go for extended periods over the course of each month with more cash in the TGA than strictly required.  The financial benefits of redeploying that cash into the repo market are limited in the current market environment, but might become more substantial in the (we think unlikely) event that the moved to a scarce reserves framework.  This week’s newsletter looks at the additional background questions the Treasury is asking about the proposal this quarter.

Economic Modeling

Laurence Meyer

Sat, January 04, 1997

At the Board, the staff forecast, presented in the Greenbook prior to each of the eight FOMC meetings each year, is fundamentally judgmental. It is developed by a team of sector specialists who consult, but are not bound by, a number of structural econometric equations describing their sectors, and further armed, in some cases, with reduced-form equations and atheoretical time series models. The team develops the forecast within the context of agreed-upon conditioning assumptions, including, for example, a path for short-term interest rates, fiscal policy, oil prices, and foreign economic policies. They begin with an income constraint and then participate in an interactive process of revisions to ensure that the aggregation of sector forecasts is consistent with the evolving forecast for the overall level of output.

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MMO Analysis