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Overview: Thu, May 16

Daily Agenda

Time Indicator/Event Comment
08:30Housing startsPartial April recovery after big drop in March
08:30Import pricesA solid increase appears likely in April
08:30Phila. Fed mfg surveyProbably down somewhat this month
08:30Jobless claimsPartial reversal of last week's uptick
09:15Industrial productionFlat in April
10:00Barr (FOMC voter)Appears before Senate
10:00Barkin (FOMC voter)
Appears on CNBC
10:30Harker (FOMC non-voter)On the economic impact of higher education
11:0010-yr TIPS (r) and 20-yr bond announcementNo changes planned
11:006-, 13- and 26-wk bill announcementNo changes expected
11:304- and 8-wk bill auction$80 billion apiece
12:00Mester (FOMC voter)On the economic outlook
16:00Bostic (FOMC voter)Takes part in fireside chat

US Economy

  • Economic Indicator Preview for Thursday, May 16, 2024

    The latest weekly jobless claims report, the May Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey and April data on housing starts and building permits will all be released at 8:30 this morning.  The April industrial production report will come out at 9:15.

Federal Reserve and the Overnight Market

Treasury Finance

This Week's MMO

  • MMO for May 13, 2024


    Abridged Edition.
      Due to technical production issues, this weekend's issue of our newsletter is limited to our regular Treasury and economic indicator calendars.  We will return to our regular format next week.

Balance Sheet Approach in 2008-09

Janet Yellen

Sun, January 04, 2009

Going forward, asset purchases and lending programs could be expanded and extended to additional sectors impacted by the credit crunch. As for the comparison to Japan's experience, to my mind, the differences outweigh the similarities. Roughly speaking, the Fed is focused on the potential for targeted programs on the "asset side" of its balance sheet to improve credit flows in specific impaired markets, whereas the Bank of Japan was primarily focused on the potential for an expansion of the total quantity of its liabilities—the excess reserves of the banking system—to spur additional bank lending.

Charles Evans

Sat, January 03, 2009

Evans said that based on the outlook for rising unemployment, falling industrial production and a wider output gap, economic models suggest rates should be below zero.

"If it were not constrained by zero, those models would want to push it below zero, but that's not possible," Evans told reporters after a panel at the American Economic Association's meeting in San Francisco.

Quantitative easing, a way to flood the banking system with large amounts of money, "is a way to mimic below-zero rates and provide support to the economy," he said.

As reprted by Reuters.

Richard Fisher

Thu, December 18, 2008

You will note that the emphasis of our activities has been on expanding the asset side of our balance sheet—the left side, which registers the securities we hold, the loans we make, the value of our swap lines and the credit facilities we have created. We feel this is the correct side to emphasize. The right side of our balance sheet records our holdings of banks’ balances, Federal Reserve Bank notes or cash (currently over $830 billion) and U.S. Treasury balances.

When the Japanese economy went into the doldrums, the Bank of Japan emphasized the right side of its balance sheet by building up excess reserves and cash, only to find that accumulation did too little to rejuvenate the system.

As I said earlier, in times of crisis many feel that the best position to take is somewhere between cash and fetal. But it does the economy no good when creditors curl up in a ball and clutch their money. This only reinforces the widening of spreads between risk-free holdings and all-important private sector yields, further braking commercial activity whose lifeblood is access to affordable credit. We believe that emphasizing the asset side of the balance sheet will do more to improve the functioning of credit markets and restore the flow of finance to the private sector. In the parlance of central banking finance, I consider this a more qualitative approach to “quantitative easing.” It is bred of having learned from the experience of our Japanese counterparts.

Ben Bernanke

Mon, December 01, 2008

Expanding the provision of liquidity leads also to further expansion of the balance sheet of the Federal Reserve. To avoid inflation in the long run and to allow short-term interest rates ultimately to return to normal levels, the Fed's balance sheet will eventually have to be brought back to a more sustainable level. The FOMC will ensure that that is done in a timely way. However, that is an issue for the future; for now, the goal of policy must be to support financial markets and the economy.

Richard Fisher

Tue, November 04, 2008

You can see the size and breadth of the Fed’s efforts to counter the collapse of the credit mechanism in our balance sheet. At the beginning of this year, the assets on the books of the Fed totaled $960 billion. Today, our assets exceed $1.9 trillion. I would not be surprised to see them aggregate to $3 trillion—roughly 20 percent of GDP—by the time we ring in the New Year. The composition of our holdings has shifted considerably. Previously, almost 100 percent of our holdings were in the form of core holdings of U.S. Treasuries; today, less than a third are. The remainder consists of claims deriving from our new facilities.

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