Daily Summary

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for Wednesday, October 08, 2008

Agenda

TimeIndicator/EventComment
07:00MBA mortgage prch. indexNear last week's 5-year low?
07:45Plosser (FOMC voter)On Fed policies
09:45Fannie Mae bill auction$2 billion in 3- and 6-month bills
10:00Pending home salesSlipping into bottom half of year-to-date range
11:30Treasury SFP-CM bill auction$40 billion in 63-day bills
11:30Treasury snap re-opening 5/15$10 billion re-opening
13:0010-yr (r) TIPS auctionUnchanged at $6 billion
13:00Treasury snap re-opening 8/15$10 billion re-opening
15:00TSLF announcementCollateral pool for tomorrow's $37.5 billion 27-day Schedule 2 auction
 Freddie Mac note announcementMonthly scheduled announcement
 Reserve maint. period ends 

Intraday Updates

We don't have much to say about this morning’s coordinated rate cuts beyond the obvious.

 Not that it matters, but pending home sales jumped 7.4% in August.

The Treasury has announced a first wave of $40 billion of snap reopenings of securities that are not clearing in the secondary market. more »

Economic Indicators

The August pending home sales report is the highlight of today's light economic calendar. more »

Federal Reserve Operations & the Overnight Market

Fed Open Market Operations Despite the system's massive cumulative excess reserve position, we think the odds favor an overnight RP on today's maintenance period statement date.

Also, the market will pay close attention to the composition of the collateral pool in this afternoon’s TSLF announcement. more »

Fed Funds Monitor We have adjusted our assumption for today's effective rate higher in response to the behavior of funds yesterday. more »

Treasury Finance

The Treasury has two auctions today:  a $40 billion 63-day SFP auction at 11:30 and a $6 billion TIPS sale at 1:00. more »

The Money Market Observer

Monday, Oct 6 The Fed has finally been granted the ability to pay interest on reserves.  If the Fed is ready to put this long-sought authority to work quickly, we would expect it to combine the announcement of the new reserves framework this week with a half-put cut in its official funds rate target.  With economic and financial conditions pointing to a rate cut by the October 29 FOMC meeting anyway, there is little point in introducing new tools to enforce the old target for the next three weeks.

This week’s newsletter takes yet another look at some of the implementation issues raised by interest payments on reserves, and ends with a reminder that remunerated reserve balances may not be the only tool the Fed brings to bear on the credit crisis as it tries to restore stability to the financial markets. more »

Daily Press Summary (pdf)

ICAP's i-Recap Report for Wednesday, Oct 8 The i-Recap report provides relevant market news from Dow Jones Newswires and data from ICAP and Wrightson ICAP in a take-home, easy-to-read format highlighting key developments which could impact the capital markets the ensuing trading day. Download a PDF file of the most recent report now. go »

i-Recap Report Archive go »

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