Daily Summary

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for Wednesday, July 30, 2008

Agenda

TimeIndicator/EventComment
07:00MBA mortgage prch. indexAnother new low for the year
08:15ADP national employment reportAnother decline in private employment
09:00Tsy quarterly refunding announcementIncreased longer-dated issuance?
09:45Fannie Mae bill auction$3 billion 2-part auction
09:45Freddie Mac bill auction$1 billion in 1-month bills
10:00Treasury Press Conference Webcasthttp://www.yorkmedia.com/treasury/webcasts2008.html
13:00TSLF announcement$50 billion Schedule 2 rollover expected
 Reserve maint. period ends 

Intraday Updates

The ADP employment report predicted growth in private payrolls -- again.

This morning's package of liquidity initiatives from the Fed will have little impact on the Fed's balance sheet but should be positive for market conditions.

The Treasury's refunding announcement was in line with expectations. more »

Economic Indicators

There will be a lull in the statistical calendar before tomorrow and Friday’s flood of economic data.  The ADP employment report is the only major indicator on today’s schedule. more »

Federal Reserve Operations & the Overnight Market

Fed Open Market Operations We look for a large overnight RP on today's maintenance period statement date. more »

Fed Funds Monitor Funds are likely to be very firm early in the session, but we think gradual softening over the course of the day will result in an effective rate in the neighborhood of target. more »

Treasury Finance

The Treasury’s quarterly financing press conference this morning will cover the details of next week’s refunding auctions as well as any changes to the auction schedule the Treasury is considering for the future.  more »

The Money Market Observer

Monday, Jul 28 The newswires will be full of forbidding fiscal headlines on Monday.  OMB will release its Mid-Session Review of the budget, which is almost certain to predict record deficits for this year and next.  The Treasury will publish its projections quarterly borrowing needs in the afternoon, which are likely to be roughly twice as large as the average of recent years.  As discussed last week, we think the deteriorating fiscal outlook is likely to prompt the Treasury to expand its issuance in the 10-year sector in the coming months. more »

Daily Press Summary (pdf)

ICAP's i-Recap Report for Wednesday, Jul 30 The i-Recap report provides relevant market news from Dow Jones Newswires and data from ICAP and Wrightson ICAP in a take-home, easy-to-read format highlighting key developments which could impact the capital markets the ensuing trading day. Download a PDF file of the most recent report now. go »

i-Recap Report Archive go »

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